Flood Extent Mapping Technical Report

Southern Thailand November 2025

Prepared ForNak Muay Foundation
Document Version1.0
DateJanuary 2026

Executive Summary

This technical report documents the creation of flood extent shapefiles for the November 2025 flooding event in Southern Thailand, with particular focus on Hat Yai and surrounding areas in Songkhla Province. The flooding, triggered by extreme precipitation from intensified monsoon activity and the rare Tropical Cyclone Senyar, resulted in significant humanitarian and economic impacts across the region.

Utilizing Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data from Sentinel-1A and RADARSAT-2 satellites, flood extent polygons were generated across 11 acquisition dates spanning October 26 through November 29, 2025. The compiled dataset comprises 63,993 individual flood polygons, which have been merged into a unified maximum flood extent product for visualization and analysis purposes.

11
Satellite Acquisitions
63,993
Source Polygons
3
SAR Sensors
34
Days Monitored

1. Event Overview

Event Parameters

Event TypeSevere Riverine/Pluvial Flooding
LocationHat Yai and Southern Thailand
Time PeriodOctober 26 - November 29, 2025
Duration34 days of satellite monitoring

Impact Summary

Affected Population3.6 million people
Fatalities263 (200 in Songkhla Province)
Economic Damage100 billion THB (US$3.11 billion)
Max Flood DepthUp to 2 meters in urban areas

Affected Provinces

  • Songkhla - Primary impact zone including Hat Yai urban area
  • Nakhon Si Thammarat
  • Phatthalung
  • Pattani
  • Yala
  • Narathiwat
  • Satun

2. Meteorological Context

2.1 Causative Factors

The November 2025 flood event resulted from a convergence of three major meteorological phenomena:

Northeast Monsoon Intensification

A monsoon trough combined with a low-pressure cell covered Southern Thailand beginning November 19, 2025. This system was reinforced by a high-pressure system from China, creating sustained heavy precipitation across the region.

Tropical Cyclone Senyar

The first designated cyclonic storm in the Strait of Malacca in 135 years formed on November 25, 2025. This rare equatorial cyclone (forming at less than 5 latitude north) intensified unexpectedly from a tropical depression, bringing additional rainfall and storm surge to coastal areas.

La Nina Conditions

A strengthening La Nina pattern contributed to reduced vertical wind shear and an active tropical cyclone season. Combined with warmer global ocean temperatures, this resulted in increased atmospheric moisture and precipitation intensity.

2.2 Rainfall Data

Extreme Precipitation Event - Hat Yai, Songkhla Province

November 21, 2025335 mm (single day)Heaviest rainfall in 300 years
November 19-21, 2025630 mm (72 hours)Cumulative 3-day total

Classification: "Once-in-300-years" rainfall event based on historical precipitation records.

3. Satellite Data Sources

3.1 Primary Sensors

Sentinel-1A (S1A)

OperatorEuropean Space Agency (ESA)
Sensor TypeC-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)
Spatial Resolution10 meters (IW mode)
Acquisitions Used4 scenes
Key AdvantageAll-weather, day/night imaging capability

RADARSAT-2 (RD2)

OperatorCanadian Space Agency / MDA Corporation
Sensor TypeC-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)
Spatial Resolution3-100 meters (mode dependent)
Acquisitions Used5 scenes
Key AdvantageMultiple polarization modes for enhanced flood detection

Supplementary SAR Data (BC5)

Acquisitions Used2 scenes
NoteAdditional SAR dataset for temporal coverage

3.2 Ancillary Data

Data TypeSourcePurpose
Administrative BoundariesThai GovernmentSpatial intersection and attribution
Boundary AttributesThai GovernmentTambon, Amphoe, Province identification

4. Processing Methodology

4.1 Original Flood Detection (Upstream Processing)

The source KMZ files were generated through standard SAR-based flood detection workflows, likely performed by GISTDA (Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency), Thailand's national space agency:

  1. SAR imagery acquisition during active flood event
  2. Radiometric calibration and terrain correction
  3. Water surface detection using radar backscatter analysis (low backscatter thresholding)
  4. Flood extent polygon vectorization
  5. Intersection with Thai administrative boundaries for attribution
  6. Export as KMZ files with embedded attribute data

4.2 Flood Extent Compilation (This Analysis)

The following workflow was applied to create a unified maximum flood extent product:

Processing Steps

  1. Data Import: Load all 11 KMZ source files into QGIS 3.40.0
  2. Layer Merge: Combine all vector layers (63,993 individual polygons)
  3. Geometry Validation: Fix invalid geometries using Vector > Geometry Tools > Fix Geometries
  4. Dissolve: Merge overlapping polygons to single feature using Vector > Geoprocessing > Dissolve
  5. Simplification: Reduce vertex count for file size optimization while preserving boundary accuracy
  6. Export: Generate KMZ for Google Earth and GeoJSON for GIS analysis

4.3 Software Environment

ComponentVersionPurpose
QGIS3.40.0-BratislavaPrimary GIS processing
GDAL3.3.2Raster/vector I/O and transformation
GEOS3.9.1Geometry operations

5. Output Products

5.1 Geographic Extent

Bounding Box (WGS 84)

West99.105 E
East105.092 E
South6.052 N
North17.677 N

Coordinate Reference System: EPSG:4326 (WGS 84)

5.2 Deliverables

File NameFormatDescriptionSize
hat_yai_flood_extent_merged.kmzKMZDissolved maximum flood extent polygon~1.5 MB
hat_yai_flood_final.geojsonGeoJSONFinal flood extent for GIS analysis~2.0 MB
hat_yai_flood_final.kmlKMLStyled flood extent for Google Earth~1.9 MB
Source KMZ files (11)KMZOriginal temporal acquisitions~28.6 MB total

6. Flood Progression Maps

The following satellite-derived flood extent maps show the progression of flooding in the Hat Yai region from initial detection through peak flooding to recession. All maps are centered on Hat Yai (7.0086N, 100.4747E) with a 40-mile radius, displayed over OpenStreetMap basemap for geographic context.

Initial Detection

Initial Detection
October 26, 2025 - 18:25 UTC

Flood Expansion

Flood Expansion
November 22, 2025 - 18:38 UTC

Peak Flooding (Morning)

Peak Flooding (Morning)
November 24, 2025 - 06:02 UTC

Peak Flooding (Morning)

Peak Flooding (Morning)
November 24, 2025 - 06:03 UTC

Peak Flooding (Evening)

Peak Flooding (Evening)
November 24, 2025 - 22:00 UTC

Peak Flooding (Night)

Peak Flooding (Night)
November 24, 2025 - 22:46 UTC

Sustained Flooding

Sustained Flooding
November 25, 2025 - 06:00 UTC

Sustained Flooding

Sustained Flooding
November 25, 2025 - 06:10 UTC

Flood Recession

Flood Recession
November 29, 2025 - 18:36 UTC

7. Data Limitations and Caveats

  • *SAR Shadow Effects: Radar shadow in mountainous terrain may cause underestimation of flood extent in foothill areas.
  • *Urban Areas: Double-bounce effects from buildings can cause false positives in built-up areas.
  • *Vegetation Canopy: Dense vegetation may obscure flood water beneath, leading to underestimation.
  • *Temporal Gaps: Satellite revisit times mean peak flooding between acquisitions may not be captured.
  • *Geometric Accuracy: Source data geometric accuracy is dependent on original processing parameters.

Note: This flood extent mapping represents satellite-observed water surfaces and inherits the limitations of SAR-based detection methods. Ground verification is recommended for critical applications such as damage assessment or insurance claims.

8. References and Attribution

Data Sources

  • Copernicus Sentinel-1 data (ESA) - Processed by GISTDA
  • RADARSAT-2 Data and Products - MDA Corporation
  • Thai Administrative Boundaries - Royal Thai Government
  • OpenStreetMap contributors (basemap data)

Processing

  • Original flood detection: GISTDA (Thailand)
  • Flood extent compilation: Nak Muay Foundation GIS Team
  • Map generation: Python (GeoPandas, Contextily, Matplotlib)

News Sources

  • Bangkok Post - Southern Thailand Flooding Coverage (November 2025)
  • Thai PBS World - Flood Impact Reports
  • Reuters - Tropical Storm Senyar Coverage
Hat Yai Flood Extent Technical Report 2025 | Satellite Flood Mapping Thailand